Just lost four buy-ins, two below expectation but in the largest pots I made two loose river calls. I'm beginning to identify the biggest leak in my game: I'm going to showdown much too often. In Rush full ring poker, I think I'm way over estimating peoples bluffing frequencies (maybe a hangover from HU play). I'm seeing showdown nearly 30% of the time which is on the 'calling station' side of things. I'm a station, I admit it :). The biggest winners at these limits have numbers between 20 and 25%. I'm really going to tighten up over the next few thousand hands. As my showdowns decrease my range when I get there should get much stronger and therefore I should begin to see bigger showdown winnings. As an example of my leak, I just flopped middle set on a monotone board and fired two barrels which villain called. I would expect him to raise a flush at some point during the hand so I decided to check the river and allow the busted draws a chance to bet at the pot. With little info on villain I checked and then called a pot sized bet. But this is only profitable if villain is bluffing here more than a third of the time, and I'm not sure this would be the case. Most draws would likely raise the flop. Sigh, I'm frustrating myself at the moment. I need to become more nitty against random players in this format, so I'll really try and achieve this over the next few sessions.
Goals for the next 30K hands:
1/ C-bet less often and more selectively
2/ Cut my showdown % from 28 to below 25
Of course, at the end of the week I'll update on my progress
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