Hello all, welcome to my online poker blog.

I've been playing on and off for a decade after being introduced by a friend.

I played regularly for a few years during the poker boom and had a decent record at the micros, particularly Rush and Zoom No Limit Hold'em games (here's one of my graphs).

Around 2012 I began a new career which involved immersing myself completely in study in my spare time, so I had little to no time for poker. However recently this burden has eased and so I have been gradually dipping back in.

I'm an amateur player who still hopes to some day beat the rake.

Monday, 1 May 2017

Zoom Poker hand (any thoughts?)

Don't worry, I still intend to write a long post about my SNG results but in the meantime I thought I'd share a large pot I played in Zoom which I may have misplayed. My thoughts are below the hand history but feel free to add yours to the comments.

Hand Information
Game: No Limit
Blind: $0.10/ $0.25
Hand History converter courtesy of pokerhandreplays.com

Table Information
Seat1:   Player 1   ($24.65)Dealer
Seat2:   Player 2   ($47.10)Small Blind
Seat3:   Player 3   ($37.31)Big Blind
Seat4:   Player 4   ($28.47)
Seat5:   Player 5   ($27.36)
Seat6:   Player 6   ($23.80)
Seat7:   Player 7   ($32.29)
Seat8:   Player 8   ($12.50)
Seat9:   Hero   ($51.03)
Dealt to Hero

Preflop (Pot:0.35)
Player 4   FOLD    
Player 5   RAISE    $0.62
Player 6   CALL    $0.62
Player 7   FOLD    
Player 8   FOLD    
Hero   CALL    $0.62
Player 1   FOLD    
Player 2   CALL    $0.52
Player 3   CALL    $0.37

Flop   (Pot: $3.10)

Player 2   CHECK    
Player 3   CHECK    
Player 5   CHECK    
Player 6   CHECK    
Hero   BET    $1.98
Player 2   RAISE    $4.50
Player 3   CALL    $4.50
Player 5   FOLD    
Player 6   FOLD    
Hero   CALL    $2.52

Turn   (Pot: $16.60)

Player 2   BET    $13
Player 3   FOLD    
Hero   CALL    $13

River   (Pot: $42.60)

Player 2   ALL-IN    $28.98
Hero   CALL    $28.98


Player 2  SHOWS
Hero  wins the pot: $42.60

I'm sitting on a 204BB stack w 44, so I think the pre-flop call is fine.

Hand is checked around to me and I bet for value, but the check raise into multiple players shows huge strength from my opponent. I have removed KK from the villain's range as most players would usually 3-bet that hand pre-flop so I'm staring down 88 or a good flush or maybe a strong draw. With his bet sizing though, I have enough direct odds to call and hope the board pairs on the turn beating the larger portion of his range. The board pairs about 18% of the time on the turn and about 25% of the time on the river, or 38% over both streets. I'm getting 18% from the pot plus some implied odds so I think calling is OK.

On the turn though I'm getting 31% from his bet sizing so I need sufficient implied odds to make up the gap from 25% (% of the time board pairs on the river). However the water is muddied because I could quite easily be behind to two combinations of 88.

My opponent has about $29 behind so I'm getting 18% from an implied perspective but taking into account the times I lose I need my opponent to have a flush at least 18%/25% (% of time I need to win to make call profitable divided by odds of river pairing the board) = 72% of the time. If this doesn't make sense think of it another way, 72% x 25% = 18% so if opponent has a flush more than 72% of the time we'll win more than 18% of the time and our call is OK. Now, there are 2 combinations of 88 in his range so there must be at least 6 combinations of flushes. I think it's reasonable to consider that this might be the case (AQs, AJs, ATs, QJs, QTs, JTs, etc.).

The biggest question mark in this hand is probably my river play. Villain very quickly shoves all-in. I know for a fact some opponents would check-call here with a flush but would also almost always shove 88. Given this kind of weighting and I'm getting 29% from the pot what do you think of the call?

If I was my opponent against an unknown (we have no history) I might light value bet the river with a good flush expecting some kings to call. Again it comes down to combinations, I need my opponents on average to have at least 1 flush combination for the call to be profitable. The $50 question!

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