Welcome

Hello all, welcome to my online poker blog.

I've been playing on and off for a decade after being introduced by a friend.

I played regularly for a few years during the poker boom and had a decent record at the micros, particularly Rush and Zoom No Limit Hold'em games (here's one of my graphs).

Around 2012 I began a new career which involved immersing myself completely in study in my spare time, so I had little to no time for poker. However recently this burden has eased and so I have been gradually dipping back in.

I'm an amateur player who still hopes to some day beat the rake.





Saturday 20 February 2010

Further Thoughts About Winning Poker

Ok, I'm a little drunk but I thought I'd share an idea or theory with you and add a little logic to try and back it up. Please, please tell me if you disagree and we can start a deeeeebate.
Play on later streets is less significant than play on earlier streets.
A few years back I studied computer science and was introduced to decision trees.
Every time we play a hand, the global EV is a sum of the EVs of each possible decision branch. As the tree of different plays branches out from preflop onwards, the actual EV towards the very ends of the branches becomes pretty insignificant in terms of the global EV. This is because the actual probability of finding yourself in that position is very small by that stage. I hope you're with me and I'm not actually insane. (in truth who really thinks as much about poker as me? maybe i am actually a nutcase... :() The point is... If we can find an edge preflop or on the flop it's huge compared to those we can find later in the hand. So... if we want to win at poker we need to concentrate on exploiting the imbalances inherent in villain's play at the earliest moment in the hand. I'll give some examples:
1/ villain never folds preflop... we value bet relentlessly with the top of our range
2/ villain constantly folds to 3-bets.... we 3-bet relentlessly with our entire range
3/ villain never folds to 3-bets.... we 3-bet relentlessly with the top of our range
4/ villain calls every bet preflop and folds to almost every c-bet... we raise every singe hand (100%) and c-bet every single flop (100%)...
This is where the most of our profit comes from. Forget situations, if you can find a significant imbalance in your opponents play preflop or on the flop then you will make money from him :) Drunken post over, I need another beer..... GL
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2 comments:

  1. PHLUKKE20 February 2010 at 15:56

    yes id agree with u and yes i do believe u are at the higher end of thinking about the game but i'm trying to work on that and hopefully my results will catch up, regards....hv one for me, adam

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  2. Simon Debanks21 February 2010 at 02:32

    I had one too many to be honest and feeling it a little now lol. Thanks mate, you're results are not far off in my opinion anyway. You just play a high variance form of the game. I liked your last blog post too, some good coaches over at that site so hope you get something out of it. Simon

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